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Welterweight · Last Fought Feb 2014

TJ Waldburger

UFC Record
4-4
Age
38
Height
5'11"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1562Going Into Their Last Fight, Feb 2014
1618Best, Jun 2012
1503Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

1450150015501600165020112012201320141495 going into David Mitchell, Sep 20101564 going into Johny Hendricks, Mar 20111540 going into Mike Stumpf, Sep 20111580 going into Jake Hecht, Mar 20121618 going into Brian Ebersole, Jun 20121566 going into Nick Catone, Dec 20121600 going into Adlan Amagov, Oct 20131562 going into Mike Pyle, Feb 20141562
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1503After Their Last Fight, Feb 2014
1533Best, Jun 2012
1562Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155020112012201320141500 going into David Mitchell, Sep 20101516 going into Johny Hendricks, Mar 20111501 going into Mike Stumpf, Sep 20111517 going into Jake Hecht, Mar 20121533 going into Brian Ebersole, Jun 20121518 going into Nick Catone, Dec 20121533 going into Adlan Amagov, Oct 20131516 going into Mike Pyle, Feb 20141503 after their last fight1503
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.02Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
51%Striking Accuracy
2.39Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
40%Striking Defense
0.50Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
3.03Takedowns per 15 Minutes
46%Takedown Accuracy
40%Takedown Defense
4.79Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
35%Share of Fight Time in Control
7.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins031
Losses301

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Mike PyleKO/TKO · R3 4:03Feb 22, 2014UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

TJ WaldburgerMike Pyle
1562Fighter Elo Going In1440
1516Classic Elo Going In1563
38 of 89Significant Strikes56 of 101
49 of 102Total Strikes88 of 134
0 of 4Takedowns4 of 4
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
2:26Control Time3:18
Lossvs. Adlan AmagovKO/TKO · R1 3:00Oct 19, 2013UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

TJ WaldburgerAdlan Amagov
1600Fighter Elo Going In1641
1533Classic Elo Going In1516
4 of 10Significant Strikes15 of 26
4 of 10Total Strikes23 of 34
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:38Control Time0:05
Winvs. Nick CatoneSubmission · R2 1:04Dec 15, 2012The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

TJ WaldburgerNick Catone
1566Fighter Elo Going In1482
1518Classic Elo Going In1500
13 of 17Significant Strikes10 of 16
14 of 18Total Strikes14 of 20
1 of 5Takedowns1 of 2
1Knockdowns0
4Submission Attempts0
1:19Control Time3:19
Lossvs. Brian EbersoleUnanimous DecisionJun 22, 2012UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

TJ WaldburgerBrian Ebersole
1618Fighter Elo Going In1544
1533Classic Elo Going In1549
18 of 41Significant Strikes39 of 59
33 of 59Total Strikes90 of 118
1 of 1Takedowns2 of 5
1Knockdowns0
4Submission Attempts0
1:45Control Time8:16
Winvs. Jake HechtSubmission · R1 0:55Mar 2, 2012UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

TJ WaldburgerJake Hecht
1580Fighter Elo Going In1575
1517Classic Elo Going In1517
3 of 3Significant Strikes2 of 5
3 of 3Total Strikes2 of 5
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:03
Winvs. Mike StumpfSubmission · R1 3:52Sep 17, 2011UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

TJ WaldburgerMike Stumpf
1540Fighter Elo Going In1425
1501Classic Elo Going In1500
4 of 7Significant Strikes0 of 4
8 of 11Total Strikes6 of 10
3 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
3:14Control Time0:24
Lossvs. Johny HendricksKO/TKO · R1 1:35Mar 26, 2011UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

TJ WaldburgerJohny Hendricks
1564Fighter Elo Going In1692
1516Classic Elo Going In1545
3 of 9Significant Strikes7 of 8
3 of 9Total Strikes9 of 10
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:31Control Time0:26
Winvs. David MitchellUnanimous DecisionSep 15, 2010UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

TJ WaldburgerDavid Mitchell
1495Fighter Elo Going In1370
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
37 of 58Significant Strikes13 of 18
69 of 96Total Strikes50 of 59
6 of 7Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
7Submission Attempts6
10:54Control Time1:37