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Welterweight · Active

Ian Machado Garry

UFC Record
10-2
Age
28
Height
6'3"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1731Today
1747Best, Feb 2024
1627Classic Elo
#15 Men: Pound for Pound#7 Welterweight
1500160017001800202220232024202520261531 going into Jordan Williams, Nov 20211550 going into Darian Weeks, Apr 20221615 going into Gabe Green, Jul 20221574 going into Song Kenan, Mar 20231636 going into Daniel Rodriguez, May 20231688 going into Neil Magny, Aug 20231747 going into Geoff Neal, Feb 20241712 going into Michael Page, Jun 20241711 going into Shavkat Rakhmonov, Dec 20241694 going into Carlos Prates, Apr 20251727 going into Belal Muhammad, Nov 20251726 going into Islam Makhachev, Aug 20261731 today1731
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1627Today
1638Best, Aug 2026
1731Fighter Elo
#32 Men: Pound for Pound#5 Welterweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155016001650202220232024202520261500 going into Jordan Williams, Nov 20211515 going into Darian Weeks, Apr 20221529 going into Gabe Green, Jul 20221545 going into Song Kenan, Mar 20231560 going into Daniel Rodriguez, May 20231577 going into Neil Magny, Aug 20231596 going into Geoff Neal, Feb 20241610 going into Michael Page, Jun 20241622 going into Shavkat Rakhmonov, Dec 20241606 going into Carlos Prates, Apr 20251620 going into Belal Muhammad, Nov 20251638 going into Islam Makhachev, Aug 20261627 today1627
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.29Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
54%Striking Accuracy
2.60Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
53%Striking Defense
0.32Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.80Takedowns per 15 Minutes
31%Takedown Accuracy
71%Takedown Defense
0.32Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
10%Share of Fight Time in Control
15.6 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins307
Losses002

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Islam MakhachevUnanimous DecisionAug 15, 2026UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Ian Machado GarryIslam Makhachev
1726Fighter Elo Going In1812
1638Classic Elo Going In1741
29 of 65Significant Strikes22 of 44
89 of 141Total Strikes78 of 114
0 of 0Takedowns7 of 15
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:34Control Time12:30
Winvs. Belal MuhammadUnanimous DecisionNov 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarryBelal Muhammad
1727Fighter Elo Going In1582
1620Classic Elo Going In1670
72 of 141Significant Strikes56 of 139
96 of 167Total Strikes97 of 197
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:39Control Time3:35
Winvs. Carlos PratesUnanimous DecisionApr 26, 2025UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Ian Machado GarryCarlos Prates
1694Fighter Elo Going In1640
1606Classic Elo Going In1570
126 of 242Significant Strikes63 of 129
141 of 259Total Strikes64 of 132
4 of 19Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:09Control Time1:46
Lossvs. Shavkat RakhmonovUnanimous DecisionDec 7, 2024UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Ian Machado GarryShavkat Rakhmonov
1711Fighter Elo Going In1795
1622Classic Elo Going In1607
42 of 84Significant Strikes37 of 67
102 of 157Total Strikes65 of 102
1 of 2Takedowns2 of 10
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
2:32Control Time11:41
Winvs. Michael PageUnanimous DecisionJun 29, 2024UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarryMichael Page
1712Fighter Elo Going In1600
1610Classic Elo Going In1519
19 of 39Significant Strikes21 of 38
65 of 101Total Strikes52 of 74
2 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
7:29Control Time1:52
Winvs. Geoff NealSplit DecisionFeb 17, 2024UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarryGeoff Neal
1747Fighter Elo Going In1550
1596Classic Elo Going In1570
67 of 135Significant Strikes46 of 89
80 of 148Total Strikes57 of 102
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:12Control Time3:45
Winvs. Neil MagnyUnanimous DecisionAug 19, 2023UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarryNeil Magny
1688Fighter Elo Going In1496
1577Classic Elo Going In1641
91 of 150Significant Strikes27 of 66
111 of 171Total Strikes51 of 93
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:32Control Time1:10
Winvs. Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO · R1 2:57May 13, 2023UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarryDaniel Rodriguez
1636Fighter Elo Going In1576
1560Classic Elo Going In1579
23 of 46Significant Strikes7 of 25
23 of 46Total Strikes7 of 25
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:10Control Time0:00
Winvs. Song KenanKO/TKO · R3 4:22Mar 4, 2023UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarrySong Kenan
1574Fighter Elo Going In1365
1545Classic Elo Going In1524
127 of 231Significant Strikes55 of 110
127 of 231Total Strikes61 of 120
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 3
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time0:44
Winvs. Gabe GreenUnanimous DecisionJul 2, 2022UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarryGabe Green
1615Fighter Elo Going In1401
1529Classic Elo Going In1517
116 of 193Significant Strikes90 of 195
129 of 206Total Strikes102 of 208
1 of 2Takedowns1 of 4
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:46Control Time2:17
Winvs. Darian WeeksUnanimous DecisionApr 9, 2022UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarryDarian Weeks
1550Fighter Elo Going In1464
1515Classic Elo Going In1484
74 of 144Significant Strikes40 of 77
80 of 151Total Strikes60 of 99
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:39Control Time2:52
Winvs. Jordan WilliamsKO/TKO · R1 4:59Nov 6, 2021UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ian Machado GarryJordan Williams
1531Fighter Elo Going In1415
1500Classic Elo Going In1470
18 of 28Significant Strikes22 of 50
22 of 32Total Strikes24 of 54
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:37Control Time0:47