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Welterweight · Active

Belal Muhammad

UFC Record
15-6
Age
38
Height
5'11"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1536Today
1645Best, Apr 2022
1633Classic Elo
#130 Men: Pound for Pound#27 Welterweight
1400150016001700201720192021202320251401 going into Alan Jouban, Jul 20161443 going into Augusto Montano, Sep 20161583 going into Vicente Luque, Nov 20161472 going into Randy Brown, Feb 20171497 going into Jordan Mein, Jul 20171541 going into Tim Means, Nov 20171556 going into Chance Rencountre, Jun 20181614 going into Geoff Neal, Jan 20191578 going into Curtis Millender, Apr 20191582 going into Takashi Sato, Sep 20191596 going into Lyman Good, Jun 20201572 going into Dhiego Lima, Feb 20211592 going into Demian Maia, Jun 20211610 going into Stephen Thompson, Dec 20211645 going into Vicente Luque, Apr 20221626 going into Sean Brady, Oct 20221624 going into Gilbert Burns, May 20231593 going into Leon Edwards, Jul 20241633 going into Jack Della Maddalena, May 20251582 going into Ian Machado Garry, Nov 20251579 going into Gabriel Bonfim, Jun 20261536 today1536
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1633Today
1689Best, May 2025
1536Fighter Elo
#28 Men: Pound for Pound#4 Welterweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1400150016001700201720192021202320251500 going into Alan Jouban, Jul 20161485 going into Augusto Montano, Sep 20161502 going into Vicente Luque, Nov 20161488 going into Randy Brown, Feb 20171506 going into Jordan Mein, Jul 20171522 going into Tim Means, Nov 20171539 going into Chance Rencountre, Jun 20181554 going into Geoff Neal, Jan 20191536 going into Curtis Millender, Apr 20191552 going into Takashi Sato, Sep 20191567 going into Lyman Good, Jun 20201581 going into Dhiego Lima, Feb 20211593 going into Demian Maia, Jun 20211611 going into Stephen Thompson, Dec 20211626 going into Vicente Luque, Apr 20221643 going into Sean Brady, Oct 20221657 going into Gilbert Burns, May 20231672 going into Leon Edwards, Jul 20241689 going into Jack Della Maddalena, May 20251670 going into Ian Machado Garry, Nov 20251652 going into Gabriel Bonfim, Jun 20261633 today1633
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.36Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
42%Striking Accuracy
3.92Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
55%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.99Takedowns per 15 Minutes
36%Takedown Accuracy
91%Takedown Defense
0.13Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
22%Share of Fight Time in Control
15.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins2112
Losses105

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Gabriel BonfimUnanimous DecisionJun 6, 2026UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Belal MuhammadGabriel Bonfim
1579Fighter Elo Going In1705
1652Classic Elo Going In1587
86 of 275Significant Strikes128 of 260
86 of 275Total Strikes128 of 261
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Ian Machado GarryUnanimous DecisionNov 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
1582Fighter Elo Going In1727
1670Classic Elo Going In1620
56 of 139Significant Strikes72 of 141
97 of 197Total Strikes96 of 167
0 of 7Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:35Control Time0:39
Lossvs. Jack Della MaddalenaUnanimous DecisionMay 10, 2025UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Belal MuhammadJack Della Maddalena
1633Fighter Elo Going In1683
1689Classic Elo Going In1614
132 of 318Significant Strikes178 of 342
155 of 349Total Strikes200 of 364
3 of 9Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:21Control Time0:40
Winvs. Leon EdwardsUnanimous DecisionJul 27, 2024UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Belal MuhammadLeon Edwards
1593Fighter Elo Going In1758
1672Classic Elo Going In1695
68 of 121Significant Strikes47 of 71
192 of 281Total Strikes89 of 114
9 of 13Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
12:02Control Time7:11
Winvs. Gilbert BurnsUnanimous DecisionMay 6, 2023UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Belal MuhammadGilbert Burns
1624Fighter Elo Going In1582
1657Classic Elo Going In1647
132 of 283Significant Strikes81 of 147
132 of 283Total Strikes81 of 147
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Sean BradyKO/TKO · R2 4:47Oct 22, 2022UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadSean Brady
1626Fighter Elo Going In1692
1643Classic Elo Going In1583
80 of 209Significant Strikes58 of 118
80 of 209Total Strikes58 of 118
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Vicente LuqueUnanimous DecisionApr 16, 2022UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Belal MuhammadVicente Luque
1645Fighter Elo Going In1581
1626Classic Elo Going In1653
60 of 155Significant Strikes84 of 184
136 of 260Total Strikes102 of 203
5 of 10Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
7:29Control Time0:33
Winvs. Stephen ThompsonUnanimous DecisionDec 18, 2021UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadStephen Thompson
1610Fighter Elo Going In1548
1611Classic Elo Going In1591
58 of 95Significant Strikes19 of 32
171 of 271Total Strikes51 of 67
7 of 9Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
11:57Control Time0:52
Winvs. Demian MaiaUnanimous DecisionJun 12, 2021UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadDemian Maia
1592Fighter Elo Going In1496
1593Classic Elo Going In1634
45 of 127Significant Strikes21 of 53
92 of 177Total Strikes23 of 55
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 21
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time4:14
Winvs. Dhiego LimaUnanimous DecisionFeb 13, 2021UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadDhiego Lima
1572Fighter Elo Going In1433
1581Classic Elo Going In1501
129 of 264Significant Strikes69 of 203
136 of 284Total Strikes70 of 206
1 of 10Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:42Control Time0:00
Winvs. Lyman GoodUnanimous DecisionJun 20, 2020UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadLyman Good
1596Fighter Elo Going In1528
1567Classic Elo Going In1522
82 of 172Significant Strikes81 of 172
86 of 176Total Strikes84 of 175
2 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:44Control Time0:07
Winvs. Takashi SatoSubmission · R3 1:55Sep 7, 2019UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadTakashi Sato
1582Fighter Elo Going In1350
1552Classic Elo Going In1516
49 of 106Significant Strikes29 of 89
78 of 148Total Strikes34 of 95
2 of 9Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:30Control Time0:38
Winvs. Curtis MillenderUnanimous DecisionApr 13, 2019UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadCurtis Millender
1578Fighter Elo Going In1555
1536Classic Elo Going In1536
47 of 107Significant Strikes48 of 96
126 of 217Total Strikes50 of 98
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:17Control Time0:02
Lossvs. Geoff NealUnanimous DecisionJan 19, 2019UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadGeoff Neal
1614Fighter Elo Going In1646
1554Classic Elo Going In1529
63 of 204Significant Strikes71 of 190
64 of 205Total Strikes71 of 190
0 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:22Control Time0:56
Winvs. Chance RencountreUnanimous DecisionJun 1, 2018UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadChance Rencountre
1556Fighter Elo Going In1373
1539Classic Elo Going In1500
70 of 130Significant Strikes16 of 123
88 of 149Total Strikes16 of 123
3 of 4Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Tim MeansSplit DecisionNov 18, 2017UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadTim Means
1541Fighter Elo Going In1600
1522Classic Elo Going In1560
88 of 221Significant Strikes91 of 234
90 of 224Total Strikes93 of 236
1 of 5Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:21Control Time0:00
Winvs. Jordan MeinUnanimous DecisionJul 8, 2017UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadJordan Mein
1497Fighter Elo Going In1537
1506Classic Elo Going In1506
45 of 110Significant Strikes36 of 61
116 of 194Total Strikes49 of 74
4 of 12Takedowns1 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
6:54Control Time0:36
Winvs. Randy BrownUnanimous DecisionFeb 11, 2017UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadRandy Brown
1472Fighter Elo Going In1586
1488Classic Elo Going In1531
71 of 152Significant Strikes52 of 145
135 of 236Total Strikes65 of 158
2 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:52Control Time0:26
Lossvs. Vicente LuqueKO/TKO · R1 1:19Nov 12, 2016UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadVicente Luque
1583Fighter Elo Going In1591
1502Classic Elo Going In1532
3 of 10Significant Strikes9 of 21
3 of 10Total Strikes9 of 21
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:03
Winvs. Augusto MontanoKO/TKO · R3 4:19Sep 17, 2016UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadAugusto Montano
1443Fighter Elo Going In1556
1485Classic Elo Going In1501
66 of 149Significant Strikes67 of 149
118 of 210Total Strikes72 of 154
3 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:28Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Alan JoubanUnanimous DecisionJul 7, 2016UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Belal MuhammadAlan Jouban
1401Fighter Elo Going In1486
1500Classic Elo Going In1531
77 of 199Significant Strikes86 of 169
108 of 239Total Strikes105 of 191
2 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns3
0Submission Attempts0
3:01Control Time1:37