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Women's Strawweight · Active

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

UFC Record
9-10
Age
40
Height
5'3"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1232Today
1523Best, Jul 2016
1488Classic Elo
120013001400150016002016201820202022202420261348 going into Randa Markos, Dec 20151489 going into Heather Clark, May 20161523 going into Rose Namajunas, Jul 20161453 going into Joanna Jedrzejczyk, Nov 20161441 going into Claudia Gadelha, Jun 20171421 going into Jodie Esquibel, Oct 20171453 going into Felice Herrig, Apr 20181461 going into Jessica Andrade, Sep 20181410 going into Michelle Waterson-Gomez, Mar 20191400 going into Alexa Grasso, Jun 20191379 going into Yan Xiaonan, Feb 20201312 going into Jessica Penne, Aug 20211300 going into Felice Herrig, Jun 20221345 going into Silvana Gomez Juarez, Nov 20221337 going into Vanessa Demopoulos, May 20231384 going into Diana Belbita, Oct 20231408 going into Iasmin Lucindo, May 20241355 going into Denise Gomes, Nov 20241322 going into Julia Polastri, Oct 20251232 today1232
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1488Today
1550Best, Sep 2018
1232Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015502016201820202022202420261500 going into Randa Markos, Dec 20151516 going into Heather Clark, May 20161532 going into Rose Namajunas, Jul 20161548 going into Joanna Jedrzejczyk, Nov 20161534 going into Claudia Gadelha, Jun 20171517 going into Jodie Esquibel, Oct 20171533 going into Felice Herrig, Apr 20181550 going into Jessica Andrade, Sep 20181535 going into Michelle Waterson-Gomez, Mar 20191519 going into Alexa Grasso, Jun 20191502 going into Yan Xiaonan, Feb 20201489 going into Jessica Penne, Aug 20211473 going into Felice Herrig, Jun 20221490 going into Silvana Gomez Juarez, Nov 20221506 going into Vanessa Demopoulos, May 20231523 going into Diana Belbita, Oct 20231538 going into Iasmin Lucindo, May 20241521 going into Denise Gomes, Nov 20241504 going into Julia Polastri, Oct 20251488 today1488
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.54Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
43%Striking Accuracy
5.77Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
57%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.36Takedowns per 15 Minutes
23%Takedown Accuracy
75%Takedown Defense
0.18Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
10%Share of Fight Time in Control
13.2 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins018
Losses226

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Julia PolastriKO/TKO · R3 2:56Oct 11, 2025UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczJulia Polastri
1322Fighter Elo Going In1454
1504Classic Elo Going In1487
72 of 192Significant Strikes137 of 253
75 of 196Total Strikes142 of 261
1 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:31Control Time0:46
Lossvs. Denise GomesUnanimous DecisionNov 9, 2024UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczDenise Gomes
1355Fighter Elo Going In1557
1521Classic Elo Going In1517
46 of 98Significant Strikes73 of 144
61 of 115Total Strikes91 of 166
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:02Control Time5:47
Lossvs. Iasmin LucindoUnanimous DecisionMay 4, 2024UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczIasmin Lucindo
1408Fighter Elo Going In1579
1538Classic Elo Going In1516
42 of 111Significant Strikes83 of 136
47 of 119Total Strikes91 of 144
0 of 2Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time5:56
Winvs. Diana BelbitaUnanimous DecisionOct 7, 2023UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczDiana Belbita
1384Fighter Elo Going In1375
1523Classic Elo Going In1485
141 of 267Significant Strikes99 of 261
155 of 283Total Strikes108 of 270
1 of 6Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:15Control Time0:53
Winvs. Vanessa DemopoulosUnanimous DecisionMay 20, 2023UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczVanessa Demopoulos
1337Fighter Elo Going In1315
1506Classic Elo Going In1532
139 of 237Significant Strikes68 of 221
148 of 249Total Strikes83 of 237
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:52Control Time0:00
Winvs. Silvana Gomez JuarezUnanimous DecisionNov 12, 2022UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
1345Fighter Elo Going In1319
1490Classic Elo Going In1484
74 of 202Significant Strikes77 of 263
90 of 230Total Strikes79 of 267
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:03Control Time0:10
Winvs. Felice HerrigSubmission · R2 4:01Jun 4, 2022UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczFelice Herrig
1300Fighter Elo Going In1272
1473Classic Elo Going In1509
82 of 123Significant Strikes55 of 122
102 of 146Total Strikes59 of 126
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
3:10Control Time0:01
Lossvs. Jessica PenneSubmission · R1 4:32Aug 7, 2021UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczJessica Penne
1312Fighter Elo Going In1282
1489Classic Elo Going In1488
8 of 12Significant Strikes12 of 19
28 of 36Total Strikes21 of 30
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:26Control Time3:13
Lossvs. Yan XiaonanUnanimous DecisionFeb 22, 2020UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczYan Xiaonan
1379Fighter Elo Going In1446
1502Classic Elo Going In1557
38 of 85Significant Strikes93 of 178
51 of 103Total Strikes157 of 254
0 of 1Takedowns5 of 6
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:45Control Time5:06
Lossvs. Alexa GrassoUnanimous DecisionJun 8, 2019UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczAlexa Grasso
1400Fighter Elo Going In1464
1519Classic Elo Going In1501
90 of 232Significant Strikes148 of 369
92 of 234Total Strikes163 of 384
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:33Control Time0:07
Lossvs. Michelle Waterson-GomezUnanimous DecisionMar 30, 2019UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczMichelle Waterson-Gomez
1410Fighter Elo Going In1419
1535Classic Elo Going In1535
57 of 118Significant Strikes64 of 149
77 of 141Total Strikes82 of 167
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:56Control Time3:35
Lossvs. Jessica AndradeKO/TKO · R1 1:58Sep 8, 2018UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczJessica Andrade
1461Fighter Elo Going In1627
1550Classic Elo Going In1576
24 of 56Significant Strikes38 of 73
25 of 58Total Strikes39 of 74
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:01
Winvs. Felice HerrigSplit DecisionApr 7, 2018UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczFelice Herrig
1453Fighter Elo Going In1396
1533Classic Elo Going In1561
126 of 248Significant Strikes86 of 216
140 of 262Total Strikes97 of 228
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:10Control Time1:44
Winvs. Jodie EsquibelUnanimous DecisionOct 21, 2017UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczJodie Esquibel
1421Fighter Elo Going In1378
1517Classic Elo Going In1500
127 of 333Significant Strikes65 of 175
142 of 348Total Strikes66 of 176
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:10Control Time1:13
Lossvs. Claudia GadelhaSubmission · R1 3:03Jun 3, 2017UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczClaudia Gadelha
1441Fighter Elo Going In1576
1534Classic Elo Going In1519
9 of 37Significant Strikes8 of 28
12 of 40Total Strikes8 of 28
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time0:46
Lossvs. Joanna JedrzejczykUnanimous DecisionNov 12, 2016UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor

UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczJoanna Jedrzejczyk
1453Fighter Elo Going In1729
1548Classic Elo Going In1590
50 of 220Significant Strikes171 of 360
63 of 234Total Strikes181 of 371
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:34Control Time3:30
Winvs. Rose NamajunasSplit DecisionJul 30, 2016UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczRose Namajunas
1523Fighter Elo Going In1692
1532Classic Elo Going In1536
84 of 242Significant Strikes70 of 145
128 of 293Total Strikes74 of 149
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:19Control Time2:25
Winvs. Heather ClarkUnanimous DecisionMay 8, 2016UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczHeather Clark
1489Fighter Elo Going In1322
1516Classic Elo Going In1516
119 of 261Significant Strikes70 of 152
164 of 309Total Strikes134 of 219
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 15
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:46Control Time5:00
Winvs. Randa MarkosUnanimous DecisionDec 19, 2015UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Karolina KowalkiewiczRanda Markos
1348Fighter Elo Going In1492
1500Classic Elo Going In1501
66 of 169Significant Strikes34 of 100
104 of 216Total Strikes56 of 125
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 9
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:28Control Time5:19