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Middleweight · Active

Brad Tavares

UFC Record
16-12
Age
38
Height
6'1"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1305Today
1651Best, Jul 2011
1524Classic Elo
130014001500160017002011201420172020202320261617 going into Seth Baczynski, Jun 20101647 going into Phil Baroni, Jan 20111651 going into Aaron Simpson, Jul 20111479 going into Dongi Yang, May 20121493 going into Tom Watson, Sep 20121544 going into Riki Fukuda, Mar 20131588 going into Robert McDaniel, Aug 20131583 going into Lorenz Larkin, Jan 20141595 going into Yoel Romero, Apr 20141576 going into Tim Boetsch, Aug 20141550 going into Nate Marquardt, Jan 20151586 going into Robert Whittaker, May 20151492 going into Caio Magalhaes, Sep 20161513 going into Elias Theodorou, Jul 20171525 going into Thales Leites, Oct 20171542 going into Krzysztof Jotko, Apr 20181573 going into Israel Adesanya, Jul 20181474 going into Edmen Shahbazyan, Nov 20191420 going into Antonio Carlos Junior, Jan 20211482 going into Omari Akhmedov, Jul 20211519 going into Dricus Du Plessis, Jul 20221459 going into Bruno Silva (185), Apr 20231411 going into Chris Weidman, Aug 20231458 going into Gregory Rodrigues, Feb 20241393 going into JunYong Park, Oct 20241352 going into Gerald Meerschaert, Apr 20251352 going into Robert Bryczek, Sep 20251304 going into Eryk Anders, Mar 20261305 today1305
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1524Today
1609Best, Jul 2018
1305Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

15001550160016502011201420172020202320261500 going into Seth Baczynski, Jun 20101516 going into Phil Baroni, Jan 20111529 going into Aaron Simpson, Jul 20111513 going into Dongi Yang, May 20121528 going into Tom Watson, Sep 20121543 going into Riki Fukuda, Mar 20131557 going into Robert McDaniel, Aug 20131571 going into Lorenz Larkin, Jan 20141584 going into Yoel Romero, Apr 20141566 going into Tim Boetsch, Aug 20141549 going into Nate Marquardt, Jan 20151566 going into Robert Whittaker, May 20151548 going into Caio Magalhaes, Sep 20161563 going into Elias Theodorou, Jul 20171579 going into Thales Leites, Oct 20171595 going into Krzysztof Jotko, Apr 20181609 going into Israel Adesanya, Jul 20181589 going into Edmen Shahbazyan, Nov 20191571 going into Antonio Carlos Junior, Jan 20211586 going into Omari Akhmedov, Jul 20211602 going into Dricus Du Plessis, Jul 20221582 going into Bruno Silva (185), Apr 20231563 going into Chris Weidman, Aug 20231580 going into Gregory Rodrigues, Feb 20241562 going into JunYong Park, Oct 20241546 going into Gerald Meerschaert, Apr 20251561 going into Robert Bryczek, Sep 20251542 going into Eryk Anders, Mar 20261524 today1524
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.41Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
44%Striking Accuracy
3.32Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
55%Striking Defense
0.21Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.70Takedowns per 15 Minutes
27%Takedown Accuracy
80%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
13%Share of Fight Time in Control
13.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins2014
Losses606

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Eryk AndersUnanimous DecisionMar 14, 2026UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresEryk Anders
1304Fighter Elo Going In1406
1542Classic Elo Going In1509
48 of 86Significant Strikes35 of 84
55 of 95Total Strikes68 of 133
0 of 1Takedowns3 of 9
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:29Control Time9:20
Lossvs. Robert BryczekKO/TKO · R3 1:43Sep 6, 2025UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresRobert Bryczek
1352Fighter Elo Going In1255
1561Classic Elo Going In1483
42 of 102Significant Strikes68 of 138
50 of 111Total Strikes77 of 149
1 of 3Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:22Control Time1:22
Winvs. Gerald MeerschaertUnanimous DecisionApr 5, 2025UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
1352Fighter Elo Going In1469
1546Classic Elo Going In1526
47 of 109Significant Strikes38 of 83
56 of 118Total Strikes51 of 97
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time4:44
Lossvs. JunYong ParkSplit DecisionOct 12, 2024UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresJunYong Park
1393Fighter Elo Going In1560
1562Classic Elo Going In1554
65 of 149Significant Strikes99 of 177
73 of 159Total Strikes124 of 210
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:42Control Time6:32
Lossvs. Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO · R3 0:55Feb 10, 2024UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresGregory Rodrigues
1458Fighter Elo Going In1564
1580Classic Elo Going In1543
37 of 84Significant Strikes71 of 123
42 of 90Total Strikes79 of 135
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time3:18
Winvs. Chris WeidmanUnanimous DecisionAug 19, 2023UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresChris Weidman
1411Fighter Elo Going In1546
1563Classic Elo Going In1580
70 of 115Significant Strikes37 of 92
71 of 116Total Strikes39 of 94
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:21
Lossvs. Bruno Silva (185)KO/TKO · R1 3:35Apr 22, 2023UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresBruno Silva (185)
1459Fighter Elo Going In1435
1582Classic Elo Going In1513
15 of 64Significant Strikes23 of 51
15 of 65Total Strikes24 of 52
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:02
Lossvs. Dricus Du PlessisUnanimous DecisionJul 2, 2022UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresDricus Du Plessis
1519Fighter Elo Going In1654
1602Classic Elo Going In1533
82 of 150Significant Strikes113 of 212
98 of 167Total Strikes123 of 222
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:01Control Time1:18
Winvs. Omari AkhmedovSplit DecisionJul 10, 2021UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresOmari Akhmedov
1482Fighter Elo Going In1525
1586Classic Elo Going In1578
84 of 150Significant Strikes48 of 166
88 of 155Total Strikes50 of 168
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 9
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:09Control Time1:42
Winvs. Antonio Carlos JuniorUnanimous DecisionJan 23, 2021UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresAntonio Carlos Junior
1420Fighter Elo Going In1552
1571Classic Elo Going In1540
54 of 108Significant Strikes34 of 103
73 of 135Total Strikes57 of 135
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 12
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time6:28
Lossvs. Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO · R1 2:27Nov 2, 2019UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresEdmen Shahbazyan
1474Fighter Elo Going In1707
1589Classic Elo Going In1545
3 of 23Significant Strikes14 of 38
3 of 23Total Strikes14 of 38
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:04
Lossvs. Israel AdesanyaUnanimous DecisionJul 6, 2018The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Brad TavaresIsrael Adesanya
1573Fighter Elo Going In1677
1609Classic Elo Going In1531
40 of 174Significant Strikes119 of 215
46 of 181Total Strikes127 of 223
1 of 12Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
2:05Control Time1:46
Winvs. Krzysztof JotkoKO/TKO · R3 2:16Apr 14, 2018UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresKrzysztof Jotko
1542Fighter Elo Going In1584
1595Classic Elo Going In1538
46 of 96Significant Strikes24 of 74
62 of 115Total Strikes40 of 90
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:33Control Time0:46
Winvs. Thales LeitesUnanimous DecisionOct 7, 2017UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresThales Leites
1525Fighter Elo Going In1537
1579Classic Elo Going In1582
70 of 136Significant Strikes46 of 132
80 of 146Total Strikes50 of 137
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 7
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:23Control Time2:57
Winvs. Elias TheodorouUnanimous DecisionJul 7, 2017The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresElias Theodorou
1513Fighter Elo Going In1614
1563Classic Elo Going In1561
31 of 71Significant Strikes34 of 82
34 of 74Total Strikes64 of 113
1 of 3Takedowns3 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:06Control Time4:13
Winvs. Caio MagalhaesSplit DecisionSep 10, 2016UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresCaio Magalhaes
1492Fighter Elo Going In1488
1548Classic Elo Going In1530
46 of 100Significant Strikes26 of 81
58 of 112Total Strikes39 of 95
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
2:00Control Time2:47
Lossvs. Robert WhittakerKO/TKO · R1 0:44May 9, 2015UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresRobert Whittaker
1586Fighter Elo Going In1630
1566Classic Elo Going In1534
2 of 7Significant Strikes10 of 14
2 of 7Total Strikes10 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:04
Winvs. Nate MarquardtUnanimous DecisionJan 3, 2015UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresNate Marquardt
1550Fighter Elo Going In1574
1549Classic Elo Going In1565
50 of 119Significant Strikes30 of 64
57 of 126Total Strikes34 of 69
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:29Control Time1:27
Lossvs. Tim BoetschKO/TKO · R2 3:18Aug 16, 2014UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresTim Boetsch
1576Fighter Elo Going In1518
1566Classic Elo Going In1534
24 of 56Significant Strikes14 of 28
37 of 70Total Strikes40 of 56
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
4:19Control Time0:36
Lossvs. Yoel RomeroUnanimous DecisionApr 19, 2014UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresYoel Romero
1595Fighter Elo Going In1612
1584Classic Elo Going In1550
21 of 70Significant Strikes31 of 48
35 of 87Total Strikes63 of 81
0 of 3Takedowns7 of 12
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:08Control Time6:48
Winvs. Lorenz LarkinUnanimous DecisionJan 15, 2014UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresLorenz Larkin
1583Fighter Elo Going In1611
1571Classic Elo Going In1505
45 of 112Significant Strikes39 of 113
62 of 132Total Strikes43 of 117
2 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:11Control Time0:42
Winvs. Robert McDanielUnanimous DecisionAug 28, 2013UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresRobert McDaniel
1588Fighter Elo Going In1555
1557Classic Elo Going In1516
30 of 79Significant Strikes14 of 56
38 of 87Total Strikes35 of 78
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:37Control Time4:41
Winvs. Riki FukudaUnanimous DecisionMar 2, 2013UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresRiki Fukuda
1544Fighter Elo Going In1528
1543Classic Elo Going In1500
116 of 254Significant Strikes69 of 172
131 of 270Total Strikes75 of 182
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:00
Winvs. Tom WatsonSplit DecisionSep 29, 2012UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresTom Watson
1493Fighter Elo Going In1450
1528Classic Elo Going In1500
83 of 173Significant Strikes65 of 127
92 of 183Total Strikes72 of 134
5 of 12Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:25Control Time1:07
Winvs. Dongi YangUnanimous DecisionMay 15, 2012UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresDongi Yang
1479Fighter Elo Going In1604
1513Classic Elo Going In1487
39 of 159Significant Strikes32 of 83
47 of 167Total Strikes44 of 95
2 of 3Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:18Control Time0:33
Lossvs. Aaron SimpsonUnanimous DecisionJul 2, 2011UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresAaron Simpson
1651Fighter Elo Going In1533
1529Classic Elo Going In1529
13 of 33Significant Strikes43 of 66
41 of 62Total Strikes127 of 156
1 of 4Takedowns2 of 15
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
0:58Control Time11:00
Winvs. Phil BaroniKO/TKO · R1 4:20Jan 1, 2011UFC 125: Resolution

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresPhil Baroni
1647Fighter Elo Going In1226
1516Classic Elo Going In1459
22 of 31Significant Strikes11 of 16
25 of 34Total Strikes23 of 29
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:44Control Time1:49
Winvs. Seth BaczynskiUnanimous DecisionJun 19, 2010The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Brad TavaresSeth Baczynski
1617Fighter Elo Going In1407
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
18 of 34Significant Strikes22 of 44
54 of 74Total Strikes46 of 71
3 of 6Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts3
11:33Control Time1:47