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Welterweight · Last Fought Aug 2016

Lorenz Larkin

UFC Record
5-5
Age
40
Height
5'11"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1529Going Into Their Last Fight, Aug 2016
1663Best, Nov 2013
1526Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

14001500160017002014201520161512 going into Francis Carmont, Apr 20131663 going into Chris Camozzi, Nov 20131611 going into Brad Tavares, Jan 20141542 going into Constantinos Philippou, May 20141491 going into Derek Brunson, Aug 20141499 going into John Howard, Jan 20151531 going into Santiago Ponzinibbio, Jun 20151562 going into Albert Tumenov, Jan 20161548 going into Jorge Masvidal, May 20161529 going into Neil Magny, Aug 20161529
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1526After Their Last Fight, Aug 2016
1529Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015502014201520161500 going into Francis Carmont, Apr 20131487 going into Chris Camozzi, Nov 20131505 going into Brad Tavares, Jan 20141492 going into Constantinos Philippou, May 20141478 going into Derek Brunson, Aug 20141464 going into John Howard, Jan 20151482 going into Santiago Ponzinibbio, Jun 20151500 going into Albert Tumenov, Jan 20161486 going into Jorge Masvidal, May 20161505 going into Neil Magny, Aug 20161526 after their last fight1526
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.61Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
45%Striking Accuracy
2.98Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
62%Striking Defense
0.41Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.14Takedowns per 15 Minutes
25%Takedown Accuracy
80%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
5%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins302
Losses104

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Neil MagnyKO/TKO · R1 4:08Aug 20, 2016UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinNeil Magny
1529Fighter Elo Going In1732
1505Classic Elo Going In1618
32 of 48Significant Strikes8 of 23
34 of 50Total Strikes13 of 29
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 5
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:58Control Time0:03
Winvs. Jorge MasvidalSplit DecisionMay 29, 2016UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinJorge Masvidal
1548Fighter Elo Going In1658
1486Classic Elo Going In1548
44 of 122Significant Strikes48 of 121
58 of 136Total Strikes60 of 133
1 of 2Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
2:07Control Time2:47
Lossvs. Albert TumenovSplit DecisionJan 2, 2016UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinAlbert Tumenov
1562Fighter Elo Going In1644
1500Classic Elo Going In1549
69 of 155Significant Strikes76 of 194
69 of 155Total Strikes76 of 194
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time0:17
Winvs. Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO · R2 3:07Jun 27, 2015UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinSantiago Ponzinibbio
1531Fighter Elo Going In1507
1482Classic Elo Going In1519
64 of 115Significant Strikes33 of 101
71 of 122Total Strikes36 of 104
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:31Control Time0:56
Winvs. John HowardKO/TKO · R1 2:17Jan 18, 2015UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinJohn Howard
1499Fighter Elo Going In1456
1464Classic Elo Going In1508
29 of 50Significant Strikes10 of 15
29 of 50Total Strikes10 of 15
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:11Control Time0:30
Lossvs. Derek BrunsonUnanimous DecisionAug 30, 2014UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinDerek Brunson
1491Fighter Elo Going In1537
1478Classic Elo Going In1517
20 of 40Significant Strikes12 of 30
32 of 53Total Strikes98 of 125
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 12
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time10:42
Lossvs. Constantinos PhilippouKO/TKO · R1 3:47May 10, 2014UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinConstantinos Philippou
1542Fighter Elo Going In1460
1492Classic Elo Going In1532
16 of 30Significant Strikes15 of 44
19 of 34Total Strikes31 of 63
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:17
Lossvs. Brad TavaresUnanimous DecisionJan 15, 2014UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinBrad Tavares
1611Fighter Elo Going In1583
1505Classic Elo Going In1571
39 of 113Significant Strikes45 of 112
43 of 117Total Strikes62 of 132
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 9
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:42Control Time3:11
Winvs. Chris CamozziUnanimous DecisionNov 6, 2013UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinChris Camozzi
1663Fighter Elo Going In1543
1487Classic Elo Going In1541
46 of 121Significant Strikes64 of 147
62 of 137Total Strikes81 of 164
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:03Control Time1:48
Lossvs. Francis CarmontUnanimous DecisionApr 20, 2013UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lorenz LarkinFrancis Carmont
1512Fighter Elo Going In1597
1500Classic Elo Going In1561
32 of 82Significant Strikes12 of 75
36 of 88Total Strikes13 of 78
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time5:16