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Welterweight · Last Fought Dec 2019

Thiago Alves

UFC Record
15-12
Age
43
Height
5'9"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1402Going Into Their Last Fight, Dec 2019
1695Best, Jul 2009
1524Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

1300140015001600170020062008201020122014201620181456 going into Spencer Fisher, Oct 20051466 going into Ansar Chalangov, Nov 20051506 going into Derrick Noble, Apr 20061522 going into Jon Fitch, Jun 20061413 going into John Alessio, Oct 20061472 going into Tony DeSouza, Dec 20061566 going into Kuniyoshi Hironaka, Sep 20071572 going into Chris Lytle, Nov 20071566 going into Karo Parisyan, Apr 20081603 going into Matt Hughes, Jun 20081643 going into Josh Koscheck, Oct 20081695 going into Georges St-Pierre, Jul 20091614 going into Jon Fitch, Aug 20101641 going into John Howard, Dec 20101662 going into Rick Story, May 20111639 going into Papy Abedi, Nov 20111631 going into Martin Kampmann, Mar 20121559 going into Seth Baczynski, Apr 20141574 going into Jordan Mein, Jan 20151558 going into Carlos Condit, May 20151438 going into Jim Miller, Nov 20161465 going into Patrick Cote, Apr 20171499 going into Curtis Millender, Feb 20181429 going into Aleksei Kunchenko, Sep 20181429 going into Max Griffin, Feb 20191386 going into Laureano Staropoli, May 20191402 going into Tim Means, Dec 20191402
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1524After Their Last Fight, Dec 2019
1611Best, Jul 2009
1402Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015501600165020062008201020122014201620181500 going into Spencer Fisher, Oct 20051484 going into Ansar Chalangov, Nov 20051501 going into Derrick Noble, Apr 20061517 going into Jon Fitch, Jun 20061501 going into John Alessio, Oct 20061516 going into Tony DeSouza, Dec 20061533 going into Kuniyoshi Hironaka, Sep 20071547 going into Chris Lytle, Nov 20071560 going into Karo Parisyan, Apr 20081577 going into Matt Hughes, Jun 20081595 going into Josh Koscheck, Oct 20081611 going into Georges St-Pierre, Jul 20091598 going into Jon Fitch, Aug 20101584 going into John Howard, Dec 20101598 going into Rick Story, May 20111580 going into Papy Abedi, Nov 20111593 going into Martin Kampmann, Mar 20121575 going into Seth Baczynski, Apr 20141589 going into Jordan Mein, Jan 20151603 going into Carlos Condit, May 20151584 going into Jim Miller, Nov 20161569 going into Patrick Cote, Apr 20171583 going into Curtis Millender, Feb 20181564 going into Aleksei Kunchenko, Sep 20181545 going into Max Griffin, Feb 20191558 going into Laureano Staropoli, May 20191540 going into Tim Means, Dec 20191524 after their last fight1524
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.73Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
42%Striking Accuracy
3.42Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
62%Striking Defense
0.66Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.71Takedowns per 15 Minutes
61%Takedown Accuracy
63%Takedown Defense
0.30Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
10%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins816
Losses336

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Tim MeansSubmission · R1 2:38Dec 7, 2019UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesTim Means
1402Fighter Elo Going In1508
1540Classic Elo Going In1524
13 of 26Significant Strikes23 of 41
13 of 26Total Strikes24 of 42
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time0:43
Lossvs. Laureano StaropoliUnanimous DecisionMay 11, 2019UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesLaureano Staropoli
1386Fighter Elo Going In1458
1558Classic Elo Going In1515
58 of 147Significant Strikes54 of 202
59 of 148Total Strikes57 of 205
1 of 3Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:27Control Time0:32
Winvs. Max GriffinSplit DecisionFeb 2, 2019UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesMax Griffin
1429Fighter Elo Going In1515
1545Classic Elo Going In1491
83 of 135Significant Strikes112 of 154
91 of 143Total Strikes117 of 159
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 4
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:13Control Time3:40
Lossvs. Aleksei KunchenkoUnanimous DecisionSep 15, 2018UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesAleksei Kunchenko
1429Fighter Elo Going In1336
1564Classic Elo Going In1500
56 of 175Significant Strikes44 of 153
56 of 175Total Strikes56 of 166
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:50Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Curtis MillenderKO/TKO · R2 4:17Feb 18, 2018UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesCurtis Millender
1499Fighter Elo Going In1455
1583Classic Elo Going In1500
33 of 106Significant Strikes47 of 106
37 of 110Total Strikes47 of 106
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time0:14
Winvs. Patrick CoteUnanimous DecisionApr 8, 2017UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesPatrick Cote
1465Fighter Elo Going In1383
1569Classic Elo Going In1534
79 of 157Significant Strikes44 of 131
103 of 182Total Strikes51 of 140
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:43Control Time0:33
Lossvs. Jim MillerUnanimous DecisionNov 12, 2016UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesJim Miller
1438Fighter Elo Going In1494
1584Classic Elo Going In1598
36 of 112Significant Strikes28 of 85
50 of 127Total Strikes45 of 105
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:32Control Time6:24
Lossvs. Carlos ConditTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 5:00May 30, 2015UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Thiago AlvesCarlos Condit
1558Fighter Elo Going In1562
1603Classic Elo Going In1547
34 of 69Significant Strikes75 of 162
35 of 70Total Strikes107 of 200
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time2:35
Winvs. Jordan MeinKO/TKO · R2 0:39Jan 31, 2015UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesJordan Mein
1574Fighter Elo Going In1647
1589Classic Elo Going In1537
23 of 68Significant Strikes37 of 96
24 of 69Total Strikes37 of 96
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:04Control Time0:00
Winvs. Seth BaczynskiUnanimous DecisionApr 19, 2014UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesSeth Baczynski
1559Fighter Elo Going In1524
1575Classic Elo Going In1532
116 of 236Significant Strikes90 of 335
120 of 240Total Strikes91 of 336
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:04Control Time0:46
Lossvs. Martin KampmannSubmission · R3 4:12Mar 2, 2012UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesMartin Kampmann
1631Fighter Elo Going In1606
1593Classic Elo Going In1563
62 of 118Significant Strikes47 of 118
90 of 151Total Strikes57 of 133
2 of 3Takedowns1 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
2:31Control Time2:30
Winvs. Papy AbediSubmission · R1 3:32Nov 5, 2011UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesPapy Abedi
1639Fighter Elo Going In1436
1580Classic Elo Going In1500
25 of 45Significant Strikes14 of 38
30 of 51Total Strikes15 of 39
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:31Control Time0:41
Lossvs. Rick StoryUnanimous DecisionMay 28, 2011UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesRick Story
1662Fighter Elo Going In1711
1598Classic Elo Going In1567
41 of 111Significant Strikes62 of 169
54 of 125Total Strikes79 of 187
1 of 3Takedowns4 of 14
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:00Control Time7:36
Winvs. John HowardUnanimous DecisionDec 11, 2010UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesJohn Howard
1641Fighter Elo Going In1486
1584Classic Elo Going In1541
73 of 185Significant Strikes37 of 124
105 of 227Total Strikes54 of 141
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:58Control Time0:53
Lossvs. Jon FitchUnanimous DecisionAug 7, 2010UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesJon Fitch
1614Fighter Elo Going In1630
1598Classic Elo Going In1647
22 of 81Significant Strikes29 of 66
39 of 103Total Strikes70 of 114
0 of 0Takedowns9 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:02Control Time8:06
Lossvs. Georges St-PierreUnanimous DecisionJul 11, 2009UFC 100

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Thiago AlvesGeorges St-Pierre
1695Fighter Elo Going In2012
1611Classic Elo Going In1657
30 of 162Significant Strikes59 of 128
72 of 206Total Strikes148 of 225
0 of 0Takedowns10 of 12
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
1:20Control Time13:10
Winvs. Josh KoscheckUnanimous DecisionOct 25, 2008UFC 90: Silva vs Cote

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesJosh Koscheck
1643Fighter Elo Going In1654
1595Classic Elo Going In1597
80 of 181Significant Strikes39 of 128
87 of 188Total Strikes46 of 135
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 5
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:17Control Time2:39
Winvs. Matt HughesKO/TKO · R2 1:02Jun 7, 2008UFC 85: Bedlam

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesMatt Hughes
1603Fighter Elo Going In1602
1577Classic Elo Going In1628
10 of 16Significant Strikes9 of 13
24 of 31Total Strikes18 of 22
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 7
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:27Control Time3:03
Winvs. Karo ParisyanKO/TKO · R2 0:24Apr 2, 2008UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesKaro Parisyan
1566Fighter Elo Going In1719
1560Classic Elo Going In1589
17 of 48Significant Strikes10 of 45
17 of 48Total Strikes21 of 56
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 4
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time1:55
Winvs. Chris LytleTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 5:00Nov 17, 2007UFC 78: Validation

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesChris Lytle
1572Fighter Elo Going In1423
1547Classic Elo Going In1466
39 of 90Significant Strikes42 of 128
48 of 99Total Strikes88 of 176
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:32Control Time2:29
Winvs. Kuniyoshi HironakaKO/TKO · R2 4:04Sep 19, 2007UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesKuniyoshi Hironaka
1566Fighter Elo Going In1456
1533Classic Elo Going In1503
48 of 97Significant Strikes15 of 39
50 of 101Total Strikes20 of 44
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:53Control Time1:36
Winvs. Tony DeSouzaKO/TKO · R2 1:10Dec 30, 2006UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesTony DeSouza
1472Fighter Elo Going In1499
1516Classic Elo Going In1529
26 of 49Significant Strikes1 of 10
41 of 65Total Strikes2 of 11
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 8
2Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:44Control Time0:26
Winvs. John AlessioUnanimous DecisionOct 10, 2006Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesJohn Alessio
1413Fighter Elo Going In1564
1501Classic Elo Going In1474
63 of 142Significant Strikes13 of 82
84 of 164Total Strikes18 of 87
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 10
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:16Control Time4:13
Lossvs. Jon FitchKO/TKO · R2 4:37Jun 28, 2006UFC Fight Night 5

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesJon Fitch
1522Fighter Elo Going In1600
1517Classic Elo Going In1533
1 of 1Significant Strikes51 of 72
2 of 2Total Strikes104 of 129
1 of 1Takedowns3 of 4
0Knockdowns1
3Submission Attempts2
0:27Control Time8:48
Winvs. Derrick NobleKO/TKO · R1 2:54Apr 15, 2006UFC 59: Reality Check

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesDerrick Noble
1506Fighter Elo Going In1408
1501Classic Elo Going In1500
11 of 27Significant Strikes18 of 45
19 of 36Total Strikes26 of 53
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:12Control Time0:40
Winvs. Ansar ChalangovKO/TKO · R1 2:25Nov 19, 2005UFC 56: Full Force

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesAnsar Chalangov
1466Fighter Elo Going In1425
1484Classic Elo Going In1500
8 of 11Significant Strikes2 of 2
9 of 12Total Strikes2 of 2
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
1:01Control Time0:44
Lossvs. Spencer FisherSubmission · R2 4:43Oct 3, 2005UFC Fight Night 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thiago AlvesSpencer Fisher
1456Fighter Elo Going In1379
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
19 of 53Significant Strikes13 of 36
84 of 135Total Strikes22 of 46
3 of 3Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts3
6:31Control Time1:15