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Heavyweight · Last Fought Apr 2017

Roy Nelson

UFC Record
9-10
Age
50
Height
6'0"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1391Going Into Their Last Fight, Apr 2017
1565Best, Aug 2010
1497Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

130014001500160020102012201420161419 going into Brendan Schaub, Dec 20091492 going into Stefan Struve, Mar 20101565 going into Junior Dos Santos, Aug 20101433 going into Frank Mir, May 20111380 going into Mirko Filipovic, Oct 20111403 going into Fabricio Werdum, Feb 20121359 going into Dave Herman, May 20121372 going into Matt Mitrione, Dec 20121415 going into Cheick Kongo, Apr 20131428 going into Stipe Miocic, Jun 20131376 going into Daniel Cormier, Oct 20131365 going into Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira, Apr 20141407 going into Mark Hunt, Sep 20141390 going into Alistair Overeem, Mar 20151398 going into Josh Barnett, Sep 20151330 going into Jared Rosholt, Feb 20161385 going into Derrick Lewis, Jul 20161388 going into Antonio Silva, Sep 20161391 going into Alexander Volkov, Apr 20171391
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1497After Their Last Fight, Apr 2017
1556Best, Jun 2013
1391Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550160020102012201420161500 going into Brendan Schaub, Dec 20091516 going into Stefan Struve, Mar 20101533 going into Junior Dos Santos, Aug 20101519 going into Frank Mir, May 20111506 going into Mirko Filipovic, Oct 20111521 going into Fabricio Werdum, Feb 20121504 going into Dave Herman, May 20121520 going into Matt Mitrione, Dec 20121538 going into Cheick Kongo, Apr 20131556 going into Stipe Miocic, Jun 20131539 going into Daniel Cormier, Oct 20131522 going into Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira, Apr 20141538 going into Mark Hunt, Sep 20141522 going into Alistair Overeem, Mar 20151506 going into Josh Barnett, Sep 20151492 going into Jared Rosholt, Feb 20161512 going into Derrick Lewis, Jul 20161498 going into Antonio Silva, Sep 20161513 going into Alexander Volkov, Apr 20171497 after their last fight1497
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.17Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
37%Striking Accuracy
4.86Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
46%Striking Defense
0.67Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.19Takedowns per 15 Minutes
30%Takedown Accuracy
64%Takedown Defense
0.07Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
20%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.7 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins801
Losses109

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Alexander VolkovUnanimous DecisionApr 15, 2017UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonAlexander Volkov
1391Fighter Elo Going In1558
1513Classic Elo Going In1517
32 of 67Significant Strikes122 of 182
40 of 75Total Strikes125 of 185
1 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:32Control Time0:23
Winvs. Antonio SilvaKO/TKO · R2 4:10Sep 24, 2016UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonAntonio Silva
1388Fighter Elo Going In1361
1498Classic Elo Going In1477
36 of 66Significant Strikes27 of 61
38 of 68Total Strikes46 of 81
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:32Control Time0:19
Lossvs. Derrick LewisSplit DecisionJul 7, 2016UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonDerrick Lewis
1385Fighter Elo Going In1575
1512Classic Elo Going In1559
4 of 19Significant Strikes37 of 73
66 of 89Total Strikes39 of 75
7 of 10Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
9:39Control Time0:03
Winvs. Jared RosholtUnanimous DecisionFeb 6, 2016UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonJared Rosholt
1330Fighter Elo Going In1528
1492Classic Elo Going In1575
42 of 121Significant Strikes36 of 120
42 of 121Total Strikes36 of 120
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Josh BarnettUnanimous DecisionSep 26, 2015UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Roy NelsonJosh Barnett
1398Fighter Elo Going In1441
1506Classic Elo Going In1554
60 of 114Significant Strikes146 of 205
92 of 149Total Strikes215 of 276
4 of 10Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
7:51Control Time8:22
Lossvs. Alistair OvereemUnanimous DecisionMar 14, 2015UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonAlistair Overeem
1390Fighter Elo Going In1534
1522Classic Elo Going In1511
23 of 77Significant Strikes62 of 84
23 of 77Total Strikes62 of 84
0 of 4Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:34Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Mark HuntKO/TKO · R2 3:00Sep 20, 2014UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Roy NelsonMark Hunt
1407Fighter Elo Going In1429
1538Classic Elo Going In1539
20 of 60Significant Strikes32 of 91
20 of 60Total Strikes32 of 91
1 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:19Control Time0:02
Winvs. Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraKO/TKO · R1 3:37Apr 11, 2014UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Roy NelsonAntonio Rodrigo Nogueira
1365Fighter Elo Going In1451
1522Classic Elo Going In1528
19 of 35Significant Strikes12 of 37
20 of 36Total Strikes12 of 37
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:11Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Daniel CormierUnanimous DecisionOct 19, 2013UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonDaniel Cormier
1376Fighter Elo Going In1627
1539Classic Elo Going In1520
17 of 82Significant Strikes74 of 148
26 of 91Total Strikes83 of 157
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time3:52
Lossvs. Stipe MiocicUnanimous DecisionJun 15, 2013UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonStipe Miocic
1428Fighter Elo Going In1533
1556Classic Elo Going In1532
23 of 127Significant Strikes106 of 172
25 of 130Total Strikes129 of 197
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:21Control Time2:05
Winvs. Cheick KongoKO/TKO · R1 2:03Apr 27, 2013UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonCheick Kongo
1415Fighter Elo Going In1575
1538Classic Elo Going In1575
2 of 5Significant Strikes4 of 6
3 of 6Total Strikes8 of 10
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:11Control Time0:00
Winvs. Matt MitrioneKO/TKO · R1 2:58Dec 15, 2012The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Roy NelsonMatt Mitrione
1372Fighter Elo Going In1589
1520Classic Elo Going In1557
23 of 53Significant Strikes13 of 28
23 of 53Total Strikes13 of 28
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:48Control Time0:20
Winvs. Dave HermanKO/TKO · R1 0:51May 26, 2012UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonDave Herman
1359Fighter Elo Going In1545
1504Classic Elo Going In1501
2 of 4Significant Strikes3 of 8
3 of 5Total Strikes3 of 8
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Fabricio WerdumUnanimous DecisionFeb 4, 2012UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonFabricio Werdum
1403Fighter Elo Going In1471
1521Classic Elo Going In1506
26 of 69Significant Strikes91 of 136
55 of 99Total Strikes98 of 145
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:44Control Time1:05
Winvs. Mirko FilipovicKO/TKO · R3 1:30Oct 29, 2011UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonMirko Filipovic
1380Fighter Elo Going In1402
1506Classic Elo Going In1492
32 of 75Significant Strikes30 of 59
70 of 116Total Strikes37 of 66
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:16Control Time0:27
Lossvs. Frank MirUnanimous DecisionMay 28, 2011UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonFrank Mir
1433Fighter Elo Going In1478
1519Classic Elo Going In1585
21 of 51Significant Strikes46 of 65
46 of 77Total Strikes82 of 103
0 of 1Takedowns6 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:01Control Time7:23
Lossvs. Junior Dos SantosUnanimous DecisionAug 7, 2010UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonJunior Dos Santos
1565Fighter Elo Going In1712
1533Classic Elo Going In1576
40 of 101Significant Strikes130 of 282
40 of 101Total Strikes138 of 291
0 of 7Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:31Control Time0:20
Winvs. Stefan StruveKO/TKO · R1 0:39Mar 31, 2010UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonStefan Struve
1492Fighter Elo Going In1554
1516Classic Elo Going In1534
9 of 15Significant Strikes2 of 5
9 of 15Total Strikes2 of 5
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:00
Winvs. Brendan SchaubKO/TKO · R1 3:45Dec 5, 2009The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale

Ultimate Fighter 10 Heavyweight Tournament Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roy NelsonBrendan Schaub
1419Fighter Elo Going In1510
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
8 of 35Significant Strikes12 of 48
9 of 36Total Strikes14 of 50
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:23Control Time0:00